Pitching Metrics – Pitcher Dominance Rating

By June 13, 2014 MLB No Comments
Cueto

Analysis by Josh Collacchi

As fantasy baseball players, we always look for the next thing. Everyone knows about pitching ERA, and WHIP, and wins, strikeouts and even quality starts for those in custom leagues.

Some advanced players even know a lot about BABIP (batting average per balls in play), ground ball rate, fly ball rate, line drive rate, xFIP and many other pitching sabermetrics that can help us make informed decisions.

Introducing Pitcher Dominance Rating, or PDR is a ProjectRoto exclusive. What this shows you is how well is a pitcher really pitching. It takes into account all kinds of numbers, some that we can, but some that we cannot share with you, yet the outcome shows some interesting facts. Add this number to your research when preparing for daily fantasy, seasonal fantasy, and even dynasty fantasy leagues.

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As you can see, Johnny Cueto is light years ahead of the rest of the pack, and there are some names that you would not expect. One is Marco Estrada. Estrada’s PDR is second in baseball with a .257, but he has allowed a league-leading 20 home runs, so beware of that. Why is he so high in this metric? Estrada is very good at getting outs, which is what the goal for a pitcher is. The issue is, when he allows base runners, it comes via the long-ball, which has inflated his earned run average to over four this season. If he cuts down his home runs allowed, he is one of the better pitchers in the game, but that is a big if. Another name that sticks out is Tanner Roark, who has the same line drive rate as Johnny Cueto (15.4), the same ground ball percentage as Masahiro Tanaka (47 percent) and a BABIP of .261, which ranks 18th in baseball. His dominant rating is a .225, which is better than David Price, Zack Greinke, Felix Hernandez, and Adam Wainwright. Stay tuned for an updated chart each and every week, exclusively on ProjectRoto.

Pitcher Team PDR Difference from Average
Johnny Cueto Reds 0.369 0.233
Marco Estrada Brewers 0.257 0.121
Dallas Keuchel Astros 0.248 0.112
Scott Kazmir Athletics 0.245 0.109
Julio Teheran Braves 0.240 0.104
Masahiro Tanaka Yankees 0.236 0.100
Tanner Roark Nationals 0.225 0.089
David Price Rays 0.220 0.084
Josh Beckett Dodgers 0.220 0.084
Zack Greinke Dodgers 0.209 0.073
Felix Hernandez Mariners 0.207 0.071
Jason Hammel Cubs 0.204 0.068
Jered Weaver Angels 0.204 0.068
Adam Wainwright Cardinals 0.202 0.066
Madison Bumgarner Giants 0.201 0.065
Ian Kennedy Padres 0.198 0.062
Jorge de la Rosa Rockies 0.196 0.060
Max Scherzer Tigers 0.195 0.059
Kyle Lohse Brewers 0.194 0.058
Edinson Volquez Pirates 0.191 0.055
Nathan Eovaldi Marlins 0.189 0.053
Tim Hudson Giants 0.188 0.052
Yu Darvish Rangers 0.187 0.051
Tyson Ross Padres 0.185 0.049
C.J. Wilson Angels 0.184 0.048
Cole Hamels Phillies 0.181 0.045
Phil Hughes Twins 0.173 0.037
Sonny Gray Athletics 0.168 0.032
Josh Collmenter Diamondbacks 0.166 0.030
Yordano Ventura Royals 0.163 0.027
Yovani Gallardo Brewers 0.162 0.026
Michael Wacha Cardinals 0.159 0.023
Corey Kluber Indians 0.158 0.022
Alfredo Simon Reds 0.157 0.021
Drew Hutchison Blue Jays 0.156 0.020
Stephen Strasburg Nationals 0.153 0.017
Wade Miley Diamondbacks 0.151 0.015
Garrett Richards Angels 0.150 0.014
Jesse Chavez Athletics 0.148 0.012
Hiroki Kuroda Yankees 0.144 0.008
Wily Peralta Brewers 0.144 0.008
John Lackey Red Sox 0.141 0.005
Mike Leake Reds 0.140 0.004
James Shields Royals 0.138 0.002
Jeff Samardzija Cubs 0.136 0.000
Tyler Skaggs Angels 0.134 -0.002
John Danks White Sox 0.131 -0.005
Roenis Elias Mariners 0.131 -0.005
Tom Koehler Marlins 0.130 -0.006
Jon Niese Mets 0.130 -0.006
Aaron Harang Braves 0.129 -0.007
Gerrit Cole Pirates 0.129 -0.007
Zack Wheeler Mets 0.129 -0.007
Cliff Lee Phillies 0.127 -0.009
Francisco Liriano Pirates 0.124 -0.012
Bud Norris Orioles 0.123 -0.013
Brandon McCarthy Diamondbacks 0.123 -0.013
Chris Young Mariners 0.122 -0.014
Dan Haren Dodgers 0.122 -0.014
Jason Vargas Royals 0.121 -0.015
Jon Lester Red Sox 0.121 -0.015
Homer Bailey Reds 0.120 -0.016
Hyun-Jin Ryu Dodgers 0.119 -0.017
Shelby Miller Cardinals 0.118 -0.018
Jeremy Guthrie Royals 0.118 -0.018
R.A. Dickey Blue Jays 0.114 -0.022
Lance Lynn Cardinals 0.113 -0.023
Jake Peavy Red Sox 0.112 -0.024
Jordan Zimmermann Nationals 0.110 -0.026
Charlie Morton Pirates 0.108 -0.028
Bartolo Colon Mets 0.106 -0.030
Jarred Cosart Astros 0.106 -0.030
Travis Wood Cubs 0.104 -0.032
Kyle Gibson Twins 0.101 -0.035
Wei-Yin Chen Orioles 0.099 -0.037
Matt Garza Brewers 0.096 -0.040
Kyle Kendrick Phillies 0.091 -0.045
Ryan Vogelsong Giants 0.089 -0.047
Tommy Milone Athletics 0.089 -0.047
Justin Verlander Tigers 0.087 -0.049
Bronson Arroyo Diamondbacks 0.086 -0.050
Chris Archer Rays 0.076 -0.060
Justin Masterson Indians 0.075 -0.061
Ervin Santana Braves 0.071 -0.065
Juan Nicasio Rockies 0.063 -0.073
Jose Quintana White Sox 0.062 -0.074
Chris Tillman Orioles 0.060 -0.076
Mark Buehrle Blue Jays 0.060 -0.076
Ubaldo Jimenez Orioles 0.059 -0.077
Ricky Nolasco Twins 0.057 -0.079
Henderson Alvarez Marlins 0.054 -0.082
Kevin Correia Twins 0.046 -0.090
Rick Porcello Tigers 0.045 -0.091
A.J. Burnett Phillies 0.042 -0.094
Jordan Lyles Rockies 0.040 -0.096
Tim Lincecum Giants 0.033 -0.103
Franklin Morales Rockies 0.026 -0.110
Eric Stults Padres 0.012 -0.124
Edwin Jackson Cubs 0.011 -0.125
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