I think FanDuel’s pricing this week is pretty good, all things considered. It feels like, aside from a few individuals, the 7K range should almost be ignored. This is not because the players are overpriced, but because the 6K range is overflowing with value. While that may frustrate some people because the pricing feels “soft”, a barrage of value plays is not actually a bad thing, and may be better than hard pricing since there is unlikely to be a consensus on who the “best play” from a specific range is.
However, if you drop further down, below 6K, there are still options that are more than legitimate given FanDuel’s format. With 4 guaranteed roster spots earning points for 2 rounds the risk factor is slightly mitigated when doing “studs and scrubs”. Yes, finishing position is still important, especially in GPPs where you’ll certainly want all 8 in the top 25 come Sunday, so it’s important to consider the type of lineup you’re trying to build and there are times where you should actually sit back and ask yourself: is this just a bad team? Am I overplaying the value?
My point is, you can’t go crazy and roster 4 of these sub 6K guys and expect immediate success. There’s a reason they are priced where they are. But taking a shot at one of them in the early rounds is quite plausible, and probably should be done considering who is there.
Here are my ten favorite:
Chris Wood 5600 – Tall and lanky, the 6 foot 6 inch Wood is primarily on the European Tour and still a secret to most playing DFS. The low amatuer at The Open in 2008 Wood can certainly hold his own in Majors and with the winds kicking up in the early rounds the Bristol native could be deployed as a sneaky alternative to the more expensive, more well known veterans.
Soren Kjeldsen 5600 – its all but ignored that Soren finished t7 here last year so not only is he cheap he’s shown he actually has value at this event. Do I think he repeats? No, but with the weather very similar it wouldn’t surprise me to see him play well.
Andy Sullivan 5600 – I’m not as keen on Sullivan as the other two but he still has shown upside in Majors. Missed the cut here as a debutante but he is a quick learn and can handle weather.
Hideto Tanihara 5400 – played out of his mind at the match play, coming in fourth to Bill Haas. Still recorded an ace against him though. Probably my least favorite of the 10 listed (he’s just old and doesn’t have much experiance here) he is still underpriced.
Jhonattan Vegas 5300 – teeing off in the second group on Thursday, I think Vegas makes for an interesting first round leader play. His problem seems to be on moving day, not the early rounds, and I’d he can get a good front none in before the wins kicks up he could be a surprise name in contention.
Kevin Chappell 5200 – 2016 was the year I really started attending church, and I wasn’t disappointed. While he somehow missed out on his long awaited win (thanks Jason Day), there are few as deserving to pick one up as Chappie. He hasn’t been playing well in 2017 but was decent in Houston and someone I’d be willing to take a shot on and I hope to being you into church as well.
Hudson Swafford 5000 – technically Swafford is a debutante but in reality he has played Augusta National multiple times (every year while attending the University of Georgia, in fact) and so he is no star gazed first timer. A perennial cut maker, Swafficer is what you want from a player at Augusta; elite ball striking, hopeful putter. Should be 1k more.
Bernhard Langer 4900 – people have asked me about Freddie Couples and Angel Cabrera this week and my response is primarily no. I’d you are going to take a stab at an older player why not make it Langer, who plays consistently on the Champions Tour, is a two time winner here, and finished inside the top 25 last year? (For the record I don’t mind Cabrera that much either).
Jeung-hun Wang 4800 – 21 and already a 3 time winner on the European Tour, Wang is certainly worth a stab at under 5k. Kenny Kim was at the practice round on Tuesday and had this to say about Wang:
One possible sleeper. Wang. He hit his tee shot on the par 3 12th within 5 feet. Then crushed his drive on 13. Went for the green in 2 and hit it within 15 feet for eagle. Then continued hitting fairways and greens the rest of the way in. His second shot on 13 was one of the best shots I saw all day. If he can figure out these greens, top 20 or better is possible.
Daniel Summerhays 4700 – I mentioned this in my player by player analysis, but it surprises me Summerhays is so cheap considering his performance in the Majors last year. He has never won on Tour but a T8 at the US Open and T3 at the PGA Championship show you the type of upside he has and that he can actually provide a GPP winning score in these events.
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